Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
  • Abde Ezzalzouli 18' goal
  • Soufiane Rahimi 32' yellowcard
  • Azzedine Ounahi 38' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 45' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 45'+2' goal
  • Soufiane Rahimi 70' goal
  • Ilias Akhomach 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaac Ngoma 55'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 70'

Morocco vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 9, 2024 8.00pm
Lesotho 0 - 1 Morocco

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
Gabon 2 - 0 CAR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 83.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 4.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result

Morocco 83.57% (+0.44)
Draw 11.72% (-0.20)
Central African Republic 4.71% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.07% (-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.32% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 37.68% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 40.08% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 59.92% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 22.2% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 77.79% (+0.33)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 93.34% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 6.66% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 75.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.7% (-0.04)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 39.71% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 60.28% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 9.2% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 90.79% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Morocco 83.55%
Draw 11.72%
Central African Republic 4.71%
Morocco
2-0 @ 14.73% (+0.30)
3-0 @ 13.3% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.20)
4-0 @ 9.01% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 4.88% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 4.56% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.47% (-0.05)
6-0 @ 2.2% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 83.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.51% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.02% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 1.89% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 11.72%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 2.03% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 1.39% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.71%