Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda

CAR
0 - 4
Morocco

Ngoma (15')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ben Seghir (34', 38'), En-Nesyri (50' pen.), Ezzalzouli (66')
Hakimi (41'), Rahimi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Central African Republic and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: Morocco 5-0 CAR
Saturday, October 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 5-0 CAR
Saturday, October 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Morocco
32.39% ( -1.58)	28.72% ( 0.21)	38.89% ( 1.36)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.87% (

-0.96)

61.12% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.91% (

-0.72)

81.09% (

0.72)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-1.61)

34.78% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-1.73)

71.51% (

1.73)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.34)

30.52% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.41)

66.75% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 32.39%

Morocco 38.88%

Draw 28.71%

Central African Republic	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.2% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.88%