Central African Republic national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Gabon national football team

CAR
0 - 1
Gabon


Solet Bomawoko (28'), Romeo Namgbema (30'), Kanga (41'), M'Baka (88'), Mbaka (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kanga (74' pen.)
Namnganda (31')
Dieudonne Mouyouma (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Central African Republic and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lesotho 1-0 CAR
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 1-5 Morocco
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gabon in this match.

Result
Central African RepublicDrawGabon
47.26% (0.924 0.92)25.34% (0.115 0.12)27.4% (-1.036 -1.04)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-1.108 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-1.102 -1.1)50.35% (1.106 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-0.984 -0.98)72.29% (0.988 0.99)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)21.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)54.27% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-1.365 -1.37)32.82% (1.366 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (-1.552 -1.55)69.38% (1.554 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 47.26%
    Gabon 27.4%
    Draw 25.33%
Central African RepublicDrawGabon
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.342 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 7% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.4%

How you voted: CAR vs Gabon

Central African Republic
0.0%
Draw
18.2%
Gabon
81.8%
22
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Gabon
2-0
CAR
Aubameyang (11' pen.), Babicka (40')

Mafouta (34'), Gambor (84'), Godame (90+6')