Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Denis Bouanga
4'
-
Jim Allevinah
7'
-
Denis Bouanga
35'
-
Guelor Kanga
49'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
82'
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Jamal Harkass
17'
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Brahim Diaz
20'
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Brahim Diaz
23'
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Eliesse Ben Seghir
59'
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Youssef En-Nesyri
81'
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Ismael Saibari
90'
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Ismael Saibari
90'
Gabon vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
Result
Gabon
29.5%
▼
(-0.27)
Draw
28.73%
▼
(-0.24)
Morocco
41.76%
▲
(+0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
44.32%
▲
(+0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.11%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 2.5
61.89%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 3.5
18.34%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 3.5
81.65%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 4.5
7.4%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
92.59%
▼
(-0.28)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5
62.64%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
37.36%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
25.85%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
74.14%
▼
(-0.17)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5
70.76%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 0.5
29.24%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 1.5
34.8%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
65.19%
▼
(-0.76)
Score analysis
Gabon
29.49%
Draw
28.73%
Morocco
41.76%
Gabon
1-0
@
10.75%
▼
(-0.24)
2-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.49%
2-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.49%
Draw
1-1
@
13.22%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 10.92% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.73%
0-0 @ 10.92% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.73%
Morocco
0-1
@
13.43%
▼
(-0.11)
0-2 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.66)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.68)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 41.76%
0-2 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.66)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.68)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 41.76%