Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade de Franceville

Gabon
1 - 5
Morocco

Bouanga (4')
Allevinah (7'), Bouanga (35'), Kanga (49'), Aubameyang (82')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Harkass (17'), Diaz (20', 23'), En-Nesyri (81'), Saibari (90')
Ben Seghir (59'), Saibari (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gabon and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Gabon
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: CAR 0-4 Morocco
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Morocco
29.5% ( -0.27)	28.73% ( -0.23)	41.76% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.11% (

0.67)

61.89% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34% (

0.49)

81.65% (

-0.5)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64% (

0.16)

37.36% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.85% (

0.16)

74.14% (

-0.16)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.61)

29.24% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8% (

0.75)

65.19% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Gabon 29.49%

Morocco 41.76%

Draw 28.73%

Gabon	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.49%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.73%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.76%