Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade de Moroni

Comoros
1 - 0
Madagascar

Bourhane (48')
Omari (43'), Said (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Niaina Rabemananjara (28'), Andriamanjato (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Madagascar

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Madagascar
29.01% ( -0.74)	29.33% ( 0.61)	41.66% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 42.57% (

-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.05% (

-2.17)

63.95% (

2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.85% (

-1.57)

83.15% (

1.58)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1% (

-1.79)

38.9% (

1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.37% (

-1.74)

75.63% (

1.74)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

-1)

30.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

-1.21)

66.51% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Comoros 29%

Madagascar 41.66%

Draw 29.33%

Comoros	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.53% Total : 29%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.92) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.33%	0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.34% Total : 41.66%