Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 18, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Moroni
  • Warmed Omari 43' yellowcard
  • Yacine Bourhane 48' goal
  • Rafiki Said 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rado Niaina Rabemananjara 28'
  • yellowcard Rojo Andriamanjato 35'

Comoros vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Nov 15, 2024 7.00pm
Gambia 1 - 2 Comoros

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 4.00pm
Madagascar 2 - 3 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.

Result

Comoros 29.01% (-0.75)
Draw 29.33% (+0.61)
Madagascar 41.66% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.57% (-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.05% (-2.17)
Under 2.5 63.95% (+2.18)
Over 3.5 16.85% (-1.58)
Under 3.5 83.15% (+1.58)
Over 4.5 6.59% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 93.41% (+0.86)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 61.1% (-1.80)
Under 0.5 38.9% (+1.80)
Over 1.5 24.37% (-1.74)
Under 1.5 75.63% (+1.75)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 69.68% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 30.33% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 33.49% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 66.51% (+1.22)

Score analysis

Comoros 29%
Draw 29.33%
Madagascar 41.66%
Comoros
1-0 @ 11.13% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.16)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 11.79% (+0.92)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.29)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.33%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 14.07% (+0.74)
0-2 @ 8.4% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 41.66%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 9, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
  • Charles Carolus Andriamatsinoro 9' goal
  • El Hadari Raheriniaina 86' yellowcard
  • goal Youssouf M'Changama 41'
  • yellowcard Yacine Bourhane 61'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT FNB Stadium
  • Rayan Raveloson 1' goal
  • Rado Niaina Rabemananjara 3' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Amada 26' yellowcard
  • Rayan Raveloson 66' goal
  • Tendry Manovo Mataniah Randrianarijaona 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafidine Abdullah 7'
  • yellowcard Kassim M'Dahoma 89'
  • goal El Fardou Ben 90'+4'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 11.00am
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium