Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Municipal de Berkane
  • Alassana Jatta 18' goal
  • Alasana Manneh 61' yellowcard
  • Ibou Touray 62' yellowcard
  • goal Rafiki Said 25'
  • yellowcard Youssouf M'Changama 40'
  • goal Myziane Maolida 90'
  • yellowcard Zaydou Youssouf 90'
  • yellowcard Zaydou Youssouf 90'+6'

Gambia vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 3.00pm
Gambia 1 - 0 Madagascar

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 8.00pm
Comoros 1 - 1 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result

Gambia 34.17% (-0.57)
Draw 28.77% (-0.05)
Comoros 37.06% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.46% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.92% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 61.08% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 18.94% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 81.05% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 7.74% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 92.26% (-0.05)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 66.48% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 33.51% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 29.85% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 70.15% (+0.36)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 68.38% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 31.62% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 31.97% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 68.03% (-0.51)

Score analysis

Gambia 34.16%
Draw 28.75%
Comoros 37.06%
Gambia
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.75%
Comoros
0-1 @ 12.2% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.02% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.95% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.06%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 4, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
  • Youssouf M'Changama 37' goal
  • goal Musa Barrow 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 63'
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 64'
  • yellowcard Ebrima Darboe 89'
International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2021 3.00pm
Stade de Moroni