Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Comoros
1 - 1
Tunisia

Selemani (49')
M'Dahoma (6'), Mohamed (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Meriah (68')
Ben Hmida (32'), Jaziri (61'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Comoros
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Comoros
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Tunisia
21.98% ( 0.24)	29.81% ( 0.07)	48.21% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 36.77% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.4% (

-0.03)

68.6% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.67% (

-0.02)

86.33% (

0.02)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.86% (

0.24)

48.15% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.66% (

0.17)

83.34% (

-0.17)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.18)

29.1% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

-0.22)

65.02% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Comoros 21.98%

Tunisia 48.2%

Draw 29.8%

Comoros	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.98%	0-0 @ 14% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.8%	0-1 @ 17.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.67% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 48.2%