Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 76.15%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Niger had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.78%) and 3-0 (11.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.