Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Niger had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.