Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de Kegue

Niger
4 - 0
Sudan

Sosah (6', 45+3' pen.), Oumarou (29'), Badamassi (51')
Oumarou (36')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Niger and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 0-1 Angola
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 2-0 Ghana
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Niger had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Niger	Draw	Sudan
34.04% ( -0.06)	29.16% ( -0.02)	36.79% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.35% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.56% (

0.06)

62.43% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.94% (

0.05)

82.05% (

-0.05)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

-0.01)

34.31% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

-0.01)

71.01% (

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

0.08)

32.49% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

0.09)

69.01% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Niger 34.04%

Sudan 36.79%

Draw 29.15%

Niger	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.15%	0-1 @ 12.53% 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.79%