Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.67%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Angola in this match.