Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 11 de Novembro
  • David Carmo 27' yellowcard
  • Rui Modesto 57' yellowcard
  • Mabululu 75' goal
  • Mabululu 79' yellowcard
  • Milson 85' goal

Angola vs Niger - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 9, 2024 8.00pm
Angola 2 - 1 Sudan

Niger

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 9, 2024 5.00pm
Niger 1 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.11%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result

Angola 72.56% (+0.02)
Draw 19.39% (-0.01)
Niger 8.06% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.95% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.91% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 57.09% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.03% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 77.96% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.53% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.47% (-0.01)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5 85.44% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 14.55% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 57.4% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.6% (-0.02)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5 37.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 62.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 8.07% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 91.93% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Angola 72.55%
Draw 19.39%
Niger 8.06%
Angola
1-0 @ 17.56%
2-0 @ 16.92%
3-0 @ 10.87% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.55%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.39%
Niger
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 8.06%