Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio 11 de Novembro

Angola
2 - 0
Niger

Mabululu (75' pen.), Milson (85')
Carmo (27'), Modesto (57'), Mabululu (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Angola 2-1 Sudan
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Niger

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 1-1 Ghana
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.11%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Niger
72.56% ( 0.02)	19.39% ( -0.01)	8.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 31.95% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.91% (

0.01)

57.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03% (

0.01)

77.96% (

-0.01)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.44% (

0.01)

14.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.4% (

0.02)

42.6% (

-0.01)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.39% (

-0.01)

62.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.07% (

-0)

91.93% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Angola 72.55%

Niger 8.06%

Draw 19.39%

Angola	Draw	Niger
1-0 @ 17.56% 2-0 @ 16.92% 3-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 72.55%	0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.39%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 8.06%