Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.