Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 6, 2025 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Josh Oluwayemi 65' goal
  • Kota Mizunuma 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 34'
  • goal Kazuki Nagasawa 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 54'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 90'+6'

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 28, 2025 8.35am
Macarthur 3 - 3 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 4.00am
Wellington 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kosta Barbarouses

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle Jets 49.9% (+1.01)
Draw 22.21% (-0.05)
Wellington Phoenix 27.89% (-0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.02% (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.17% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 35.83% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 42.09% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 57.91% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 23.84% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 76.16% (+0.47)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 85.3% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 14.71% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 57.1% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 42.9% (-0.30)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 24.94% (+0.89)
Over 1.5 40.43% (-1.24)
Under 1.5 59.57% (+1.24)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 49.9%
Draw 22.21%
Wellington Phoenix 27.89%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 7.03% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.74% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.98% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.31% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.06% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 49.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.67% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.21%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 4.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Alex Paulsen 15' goal
  • Callum Timmins 17' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 65' yellowcard
  • Carl Jenkinson 66' yellowcard
  • Dane Ingham 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 68'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 27, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Alex Rufer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 4'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 4'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 29'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 29'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 43'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 43'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 4, 2023 2.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Callan Elliot 40' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 45'+6' goal
  • goal Manabu Saito 51'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2022 7.00am
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • James McGarry 4' goal
  • Beka Dartsmelia 16' goal
  • Trent Buhagiar 44' goal
  • goal Bozhidar Kraev 39'