Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Mar 16, 2025 at 8am UK

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FC
1 - 1
Wellington

Segecic (7')
Grant (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barbarouses (38')
Rufer (82'), Barbarouses (82'), Piper (90+5')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 4-1 Wellington
Saturday, March 8 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
74.22% ( 0.07)	14.77% ( 0.11)	11.01% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 59.29% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.59% (

-1.16)

27.41% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.99% (

-1.47)

48% (

1.47)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.71% (

-0.24)

6.29% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.31% (

-0.68)

23.68% (

0.68)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26% (

-1.17)

36.73% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.48% (

-1.19)

73.52% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 74.22%

Wellington Phoenix 11.01%

Draw 14.77%

Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.99% Total : 74.22%	1-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 14.77%	1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 11.01%