Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 8, 2025 at 7am UK

Simonds Stadium

Western Utd
4 - 1
Wellington

Bozinovski (3', 3'), Ibusuki (33', 33'), Grimaldi (51', 51', 62', 62')
Leonard (21'), Leonard (21'), Thurgate (35'), Thurgate (35')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Barry Walker (82', 82')
Piper (9'), Piper (9'), Rufer (13'), Rufer (13')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, February 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 0-1 Melbourne City
Friday, February 28 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
52.02% ( -0.35)	23.16% ( 0.02)	24.82% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

0.21)

42.96% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

0.21)

65.36% (

-0.21)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44% (

-0.05)

16.56% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.66% (

-0.09)

46.34% (

0.09)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06% (

0.39)

30.94% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.76% (

0.45)

67.24% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Western United 52.02%

Wellington Phoenix 24.82%

Draw 23.15%

Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.02%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 24.82%