Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Western Utd
Mar 8, 2025 7.00am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Simonds Stadium
Wellington
  • Rhys Bozinovski 3' goal
  • Rhys Bozinovski 3' goal
  • Dylan Leonard 21' yellowcard
  • Dylan Leonard 21' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 33' goal
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 33' goal
  • Angus Thurgate 35' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 35' yellowcard
  • Matthew Grimaldi 51' goal
  • Matthew Grimaldi 51' goal
  • Matthew Grimaldi 62' goal
  • Matthew Grimaldi 62' goal
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 9'
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 9'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 13'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 13'
  • goal Nathan Barry Walker 82'
  • goal Nathan Barry Walker 82'

Western United vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 8.35am
Central Coast 1 - 3 Western Utd
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 6.30am
Wellington 0 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kosta Barbarouses

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result

Western United 52.02% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 23.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Wellington Phoenix 24.82% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.62% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.04% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 42.96% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 34.64% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 65.36% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 17.99% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 82% ▼ (-0.16)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 83.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 16.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 53.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 46.34% ▲ (+0.09)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 69.06% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 0.5 30.94% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 1.5 32.76% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 67.24% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Western United 52.02%
Draw 23.15%
Wellington Phoenix 24.82%
Western United
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 52.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.15%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.82%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Wellington
Oct 20, 2024 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Western Utd
  • Kosta Barbarouses 45'+2' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 45'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Pasquali 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Pasquali 45'+1'
  • goal Angus Thurgate 76'
  • goal Angus Thurgate 76'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Wellington
Feb 10, 2024 4.45am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
Western Utd
  • Nicholas Pennington 3' goal
  • Nicholas Pennington 3' goal
  • James Donachie 47' goal
  • James Donachie 47' goal
  • Alex Paulsen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alex Paulsen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Pasquali 26'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Pasquali 26'
  • yellowcard James Donachie 70'
  • yellowcard James Donachie 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Western Utd
Dec 2, 2023 6.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT GMHBA Stadium
Wellington
  • Jacob Tratt 3' yellowcard
  • Jacob Tratt 3' yellowcard
  • Steven Lustica 33' yellowcard
  • Steven Lustica 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 33'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 33'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 59'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 59'
  • goal Ben Old 79'
  • goal Ben Old 79'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Western Utd
Feb 17, 2023 8.45am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Whitten Oval
Wellington
  • goal Yan Sasse 19'
  • goal Bozhidar Kraev 58'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Wellington
Nov 13, 2022 2.00am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Western Utd
  • Oskar Zawada 22' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 59' goal
  • goal Jacob Tratt 64'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 84'
  • goal Alessandro Diamanti 90'+5'
Australian A-League
Western Utd
May 14, 2022 10.45am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Wellington
  • Aleksandar Prijovic 10' goal
  • Tomoki Imai 37' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milanovic 87' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bozinovski 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Connor Pain 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clayton Lewis 51'

Form Data

Central Coast 1 - 3 Western Utd
Western Utd 3 - 0 Adelaide United
Western Utd 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Macarthur 2 - 2 Western Utd
Western Utd 2 - 2 Central Coast
Western Utd 3 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Wellington 0 - 1 Melbourne City
Auckland FC 6 - 1 Wellington
Victory 1 - 0 Wellington
Wellington 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Wellington 0 - 0 Central Coast
Macarthur 1 - 2 Wellington