Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Mar 16, 2025 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 6
Western Utd

M'Mombwa (65', 65'), Thurgate (72' og., 72' og.)

FT(HT: 0-8)

Botic (6', 6'), Natta (8' og., 8' og.), Bozinovski (29', 29', 53', 53'), Danzaki (35', 35'), Ruhs (85', 85')
Leonard (56'), Leonard (56')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, March 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 4-1 Wellington
Saturday, March 8 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.58%) and 0-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western United
32.76% ( -0.17)	21.83% ( 0.04)	45.4% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 68.63% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.92% (

-0.27)

31.08% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.52% (

-0.32)

52.48% (

0.32)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

-0.21)

19.76% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.2% (

-0.35)

51.79% (

0.35)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

-0.06)

14.47% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

-0.12)

42.43% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 32.76%

Western United 45.4%

Draw 21.83%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.76%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.4%