Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fjetlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fweslog.png)
-
Charles M'Mombwa
65'
-
Charles M'Mombwa
65'
-
Angus Thurgate
72'
-
Angus Thurgate
72'
-
Noah Botic
6'
-
Noah Botic
6'
-
Mark Natta
8'
(OG)
-
Mark Natta
8'
(OG)
-
Rhys Bozinovski
29'
-
Rhys Bozinovski
29'
-
Riku Danzaki
35'
-
Riku Danzaki
35'
-
Rhys Bozinovski
53'
-
Rhys Bozinovski
53'
-
Dylan Leonard
56'
-
Dylan Leonard
56'
-
Michael Ruhs
85'
-
Michael Ruhs
85'
Newcastle Jets vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.58%) and 0-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result
Newcastle Jets
32.76%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
21.83%
▲
(+0.05)
Western United
45.4%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
68.63%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.92%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
31.08%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
47.52%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 3.5
52.48%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 4.5
28.49%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
71.5%
▲
(+0.29)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5
80.24%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
19.76%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
48.2%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
51.79%
▲
(+0.35)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5
85.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
14.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
57.56%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
42.43%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Newcastle Jets
32.76%
Draw
21.83%
Western United
45.4%
Newcastle Jets
2-1
@
7.27%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 32.76%
1-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 32.76%
Draw
1-1
@
8.96%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.83%
2-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.83%
Western United
1-2
@
8.66%
▲
(+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 45.4%
1-3 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 45.4%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
15
-
Riku Danzaki
17'
-
Riku Danzaki
17'
-
Noah Botic
37'
-
Noah Botic
37'
-
Noah Botic
54'
-
Noah Botic
54'
-
Michael Ruhs
77'
-
Michael Ruhs
77'
-
Kane Vidmar
90'+4'
-
Kane Vidmar
90'+4'
-
Lachlan Rose
58'
-
Lachlan Rose
58'
-
Lachlan Bayliss
70'
-
Lachlan Bayliss
70'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
17
-
Daniel Penha
16'
-
Charbel Shamoon
36'
-
Josh Risdon
42'
-
Noah Botic
55'
-
James Donachie
90'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
10
-
Trent Buhagiar
9'
-
Trent Buhagiar
22'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
45'+1'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
58'
-
Thomas Aquilina
90'+2'
-
Jacob Tratt
45'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
4
-
Josh Risdon
60'
-
Josh Risdon
60'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
44'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
44'
-
Lucas Mauragis
51'
-
Lucas Mauragis
51'
-
Trent Buhagiar
69'
-
Trent Buhagiar
69'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
18
-
Beka Mikeltadze
33'
-
Noah Botic
3'
-
Noah Botic
29'
-
Tongo Doumbia
72'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Lachlan Wales
13'
-
Daniel Stynes
17'