Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.