Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.