Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.