Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.