National League Gameweek 40
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Boreham Wood 3 - 0 Gateshead
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Harry Chapman

York City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
York City 4 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
98
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw has a probability of 16% and a win for Gateshead has a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-3 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.05%) , while for a Gateshead win it is 2-1 (3.47%).

Result

Gateshead 12.09% (-0.06)
Draw 16% (-0.11)
York City 71.91% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.77% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 15.23% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 65.83% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 34.17% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 43.87% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 56.13% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 32.52% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 67.48% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Gateshead 17.65%
Draw 32.27%
York City 50.07%

Team To Score First

Gateshead 27.56% (+0.01)
No Goal 3.95% (-0.03)
York City 68.49% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.8% (-0.77)
Equal 8 9.83% (+0.45)
Under 8 26.37% (+0.32)
Over 9 53.3% (-1.18)
Equal 9 10.49% (+0.41)
Under 9 36.2% (+0.77)
Over 10.5 42.93% (-1.47)
Under 10.5 57.07% (+1.47)

Gateshead Goals

Over 1.5 16.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.13% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.25%
Under 3.5 98.75%

York City Goals

Over 0.5 89.45% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 10.55% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 69.72% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 30.28% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 45.63% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 54.37% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 26.6% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 73.4% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Gateshead 12.1%
Draw 16%
York City 71.91%
Gateshead
2-1 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 12.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16%
York City
0-2 @ 10.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.74% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 26.44% (+0.17)
Total : 71.91%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 5, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Luke Hannant 11' goal
  • Kenton Richardson 17' yellowcard
  • Joe Grayson 37' yellowcard
  • Regan Booty 47' yellowcard
  • goal Ashley Nathaniel-George 37'
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 71'
  • goal Junior Luamba 74'
  • goal Malachi Fagan-Walcott 85'
National League Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dwight Yorke Stadium
  • Marvin Armstrong 22' goal
  • Ricky Aguiar 45' yellowcard
  • Malachi Fagan-Walcott 76' yellowcard
  • Alex Hunt 79' yellowcard
  • Joe Felix 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Hannant 87'
  • yellowcard Regan Booty 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 27
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Will Davies 4' goal
  • Dipo Akinyemi 58' goal
  • Lenell John-Lewis 85' yellowcard
  • George Sykes-Kenworthy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Jobe 85'
National League Gameweek 26
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Louis Storey 54' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Jobe 64' yellowcard
  • Kyran Lofthouse 82' goal
  • goal Ryan Fallowfield 32'
  • yellowcard Maz Kouhyar 53'
  • yellowcard George Sykes-Kenworthy 85'
National League Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Danny Elliott 28' goal
  • Dan Ward 45'+1' goal
  • goal Mitchell Hancox 37'
  • goal Shaq Forde 90'