Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-3 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 2-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.