Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%) , while for a Aldershot Town win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.