National League Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe vs Aldershot Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2026 7.45pm
Morecambe 2 - 3 Hartlepool
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Aldershot 1 - 2 Boreham Wood
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Charlie Warren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 32.11% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aldershot Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 2-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

Morecambe 32.11% (+0.26)
Draw 24.03% (-0.08)
Aldershot Town 43.85% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.84% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.77% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 19.23% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 59.34% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 40.66% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 37.05% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 62.95% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 22.41% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 77.59% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 27.49% (+0.20)
Draw 38.5% (-0.11)
Aldershot Town 34% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 43.29%
No Goal 5.01% (-0.08)
Aldershot Town 51.7% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 75.74% (+0.59)
Equal 8 8.62% (-0.22)
Under 8 15.64% (-0.38)
Over 9 65.49% (+0.80)
Equal 9 10.25% (-0.22)
Under 9 24.26% (-0.59)
Over 10.5 54.38% (+0.98)
Under 10.5 45.62% (-0.98)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 37.27% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 62.73% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 15.72% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 84.28% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 5.33% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 94.67% (-0.15)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.81% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23.19% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 47.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.79% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.21% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.5% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Morecambe 32.12%
Draw 24.03%
Aldershot Town 43.86%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.48% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.57% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.01% (+0.15)
Total : 32.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.32% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.03%
Aldershot Town
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.76%
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.31% (+0.04)
Other @ 9.18% (+0.02)
Total : 43.86%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Feb 12, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stuart Drummond 67' yellowcard
  • Oliver Risser 72' goal
  • Gary McDonald 85' goal
  • yellowcard Peter Vincenti 83'
  • goal Daniel Hylton 90'
League Two
Sep 15, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Peter Vincenti 35' yellowcard
  • Troy Brown 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Wright 35'
  • yellowcard Andy Parrish 51'
  • yellowcard Andrew Fleming 65'
League Two
Mar 3, 2012 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Guy Madjo 26' goal
  • Ben Herd 75' yellowcard
  • Adam Mekki 79' yellowcard
  • Troy Brown 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Will Haining 87'
League Two
Aug 20, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin Ellison 8' goal
  • Lewis Alessandra 79' goal
  • yellowcard Peter Vincenti 49'
  • yellowcard Ben Herd 90'
League Two
Feb 8, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Holdsworth 51' goal
  • Andy Holdsworth 64' yellowcard