Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.