National League Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Gwion Edwards 23' goal
  • Jack Nolan 60' goal
  • Mo Sangare 72' yellowcard
  • George Thomas 72' yellowcard
  • Tom Fogarty 78' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kyle Jameson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Caton 34'
  • goal Alex Reid 75'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 80'
  • yellowcard Sam Folarin 80'
  • goal Alex Reid 87'
  • yellowcard Vadaine Oliver 89'

Morecambe vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Yeovil 3 - 2 Morecambe
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 0 Eastleigh
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 31.32% (-0.09)
Draw 25.95% (-0.06)
Hartlepool United 42.68% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 24.57% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 51.61%
Under 2.5 48.39%
Over 3.5 29.41% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.59% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.49% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.51% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 26.92%
Draw 41.54%
Hartlepool United 31.54%

Team To Score First

Morecambe 42.76% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.87% (-0.01)
Hartlepool United 50.37% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.56% (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.36% (-0.03)
Under 8 23.07% (-0.11)
Over 9 55.22% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 33.44% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 43.87% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 56.13% (-0.11)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 33.09% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 66.91% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.58% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.42% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.79% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.21% (+0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.5% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 57.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.42% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 81.58% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.66% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.34% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Morecambe 31.32%
Draw 25.95%
Hartlepool United 42.66%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.59% (-0.02)
Total : 31.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.95%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.46% (+0.05)
Total : 42.66%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
EFL Trophy
Oct 5, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
ET
  • Martin Smith 2' yellowcard
  • Matty Daly 8' goal
  • Reagan Ogle 39' yellowcard
  • Timi Odusina 50' yellowcard
  • Mike Fondop 79' yellowcard
  • Matty Daly 83' goal
  • goal Shane McLoughlin 33'
  • goal Callum Jones 40'
  • yellowcard Freddie Price 63'
FA Cup
Nov 4, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin Ellison 4' goal
  • Andrew Fleming 67' goal
  • Scott Loach 85' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 8'
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 79'
League Two
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paul Mullin 59' goal
  • Paul Mullin 61' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 39'
League Two
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Padraig Amond 10' goal
  • Billy Paynter 14' goal
  • Nicky Featherstone 24' goal
  • Michael Woods 35' yellowcard
  • Aristote Nsiala 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Winnard 26'
  • goal Andrew Fleming 52'
  • goal Ryan Edwards 95'