National League Gameweek 40
Morecambe
Mar 25, 2026 7.45pm
Mazuma Stadium
Hartlepool

Morecambe vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Yeovil 3 - 2 Morecambe
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 0 Eastleigh
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 31.41% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 1-0 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.07%).

Result

Morecambe 31.41%
Draw 26%
Hartlepool United 42.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 51.61%
Under 2.5 48.39%
Over 3.5 29.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 70.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.55% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 26.92%
Draw 41.54%
Hartlepool United 31.54%

Team To Score First

Morecambe 42.79% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Hartlepool United 50.33%

Corners

Over 8 66.44% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 23.18% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 55.1% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 33.56% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 10.5 43.76% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 10.5 56.24% ▲ (+0.14)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 33.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 74.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.3%
Under 1.5 57.7%
Over 2.5 18.36%
Under 2.5 81.64%
Over 3.5 6.62%
Under 3.5 93.38%

Score analysis

Morecambe 31.41%
Draw 26.01%
Hartlepool United 42.59%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 26.01%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 6.95%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.66%
Other @ 6.42%
Total : 42.59%

Head to Head

National League
Hartlepool
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Morecambe
EFL Trophy
Morecambe
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
Hartlepool
EFL Trophy
Hartlepool
Oct 5, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
ET
Morecambe
  • Martin Smith 2' yellowcard
  • Matty Daly 8' goal
  • Reagan Ogle 39' yellowcard
  • Timi Odusina 50' yellowcard
  • Mike Fondop 79' yellowcard
  • Matty Daly 83' goal
  • goal Shane McLoughlin 33'
  • goal Callum Jones 40'
  • yellowcard Freddie Price 63'
FA Cup
Morecambe
Nov 4, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hartlepool
  • Kevin Ellison 4' goal
  • Andrew Fleming 67' goal
  • Scott Loach 85' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 8'
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 79'
League Two
Morecambe
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Hartlepool
  • Paul Mullin 59' goal
  • Paul Mullin 61' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 39'
League Two
Hartlepool
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT
Morecambe
  • Padraig Amond 10' goal
  • Billy Paynter 14' goal
  • Nicky Featherstone 24' goal
  • Michael Woods 35' yellowcard
  • Aristote Nsiala 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Winnard 26'
  • goal Andrew Fleming 52'
  • goal Ryan Edwards 95'

Form Data

Yeovil 3 - 2 Morecambe
Morecambe 1 - 1 Braintree
Sutton 0 - 5 Morecambe
Wealdstone 2 - 3 Morecambe
Morecambe 0 - 1 York City
Gateshead 4 - 4 Morecambe
Hartlepool 1 - 0 Eastleigh
Truro City 0 - 1 Hartlepool
Hartlepool 0 - 1 Halifax
Hartlepool 0 - 2 Sutton
Hartlepool 3 - 1 Carlisle
Solihull 3 - 4 Hartlepool