National League Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Treyew Road

Truro City vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Altrincham 2 - 0 Truro City
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 0 - 1 Halifax
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Truro City has a probability of 34.87% and a draw has a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Truro City win is 1-0 (9.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Truro City 34.87%
Draw 27.09%
Hartlepool United 37.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.47%
Under 1.5 26.53%
Over 2.5 48.77%
Under 2.5 51.23%
Over 3.5 26.7%
Under 3.5 73.3%
Over 4.5 14.2%
Under 4.5 85.8%

First Half Winner

Truro City 27.54%
Draw 44.22%
Hartlepool United 28.24%

Team To Score First

Truro City 47.03%
No Goal 7.56%
Hartlepool United 45.41%

Corners

Over 8 61.68%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 27.28%
Over 9 50.09%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 38.32%
Over 10.5 38.92%
Under 10.5 61.08%

Truro City Goals

Over 1.5 34.65%
Under 1.5 65.35%
Over 2.5 13.01%
Under 2.5 86.99%
Over 3.5 3.88%
Under 3.5 96.12%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 71.18%
Under 0.5 28.82%
Over 1.5 37.3%
Under 1.5 62.7%
Over 2.5 14.71%
Under 2.5 85.29%
Over 3.5 4.69%
Under 3.5 95.31%

Score analysis

Truro City 34.87%
Draw 27.08%
Hartlepool United 38%
Truro City
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 34.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.08%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 38%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Campbell 23' goal
  • Tom Parkes 26' yellowcard
  • Jamie Miley 74' goal
  • Alex Reid 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Oxlade-Chamberlain 33'
  • goal Aiden Marsh 59'