Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.