National League
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Truro Sports Hub
  • Saikou Janneh 46' yellowcard
  • Max Kinsey 51' yellowcard
  • Zac Bell 73' yellowcard
  • Harry Charsley 74' yellowcard
  • Zac Bell 74' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Caton 49'
  • yellowcard Adam Campbell 78'
  • yellowcard Vadaine Oliver 84'
  • yellowcard Sam Folarin 84'

Truro City vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Altrincham 2 - 0 Truro City
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 0 - 1 Halifax
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Truro City 36.59% (+1.68)
Draw 26.65% (-0.45)
Hartlepool United 36.8% (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.23% (+1.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.97% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 25.03% (-1.46)
Over 2.5 50.59% (+1.81)
Under 2.5 49.41% (-1.81)
Over 3.5 27.99% (+1.31)
Under 3.5 72.01% (-1.31)
Over 4.5 15.09% (+0.92)
Under 4.5 84.91% (-0.91)

First Half Winner

Truro City 28.33% (+0.79)
Draw 43.5% (-0.72)
Hartlepool United 28.17% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Truro City 47.6% (+0.58)
No Goal 6.95% (-0.61)
Hartlepool United 45.45% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 61.05% (-0.66)
Equal 8 10.88% (-0.15)
Under 8 28.07% (+0.81)
Over 9 49.7% (-0.41)
Equal 9 11.35% (-0.25)
Under 9 38.95% (+0.66)
Over 10.5 38.8% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 61.2% (+0.16)

Truro City Goals

Over 1.5 36.85% (+2.18)
Under 1.5 63.15% (-2.17)
Over 2.5 14.33% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 85.67% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 4.43% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 95.57% (-0.56)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 28.99% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 37.27% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.73% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.67% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.73% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.27% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Truro City 36.59%
Draw 26.66%
Hartlepool United 36.81%
Truro City
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.39)
2-0 @ 5.85% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.57% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.19)
Other @ 4.34% (+0.55)
Total : 36.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.61)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.66%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.67)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.41)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.43% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.64% (+0.05)
Total : 36.81%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Campbell 23' goal
  • Tom Parkes 26' yellowcard
  • Jamie Miley 74' goal
  • Alex Reid 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Oxlade-Chamberlain 33'
  • goal Aiden Marsh 59'