National League
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
St. George's Stadium

Wealdstone vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Wealdstone 0 - 3 York City
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Nathan Tshikuna

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
York City 3 - 2 Hartlepool
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Wealdstone 39.06% (-0.22)
Draw 26.38% (+1.06)
Hartlepool United 34.55% (-0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.16% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 26.84% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 49.28% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 50.72% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 27.44% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 72.56% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 15.01% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 84.99% (-0.20)

First Half Winner

Wealdstone 30.24% (-0.71)
Draw 44.02% (+1.75)
Hartlepool United 25.74% (-1.06)

Team To Score First

Wealdstone 49.67% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.75% (+0.59)
Hartlepool United 42.58% (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 61.12% (+2.61)
Equal 8 11.36% (-0.05)
Under 8 27.53% (-2.55)
Over 9 49.22% (+2.40)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.22)
Under 9 38.88% (-2.61)
Over 10.5 37.83% (+2.00)
Under 10.5 62.17% (-2.00)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 1.5 37.9% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.1% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.44% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 84.56% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 4.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.02% (+0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 31.75% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 34.36% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 65.64% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 13.16% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 86.84% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.22% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.78% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Wealdstone 39.06%
Draw 26.38%
Hartlepool United 34.55%
Wealdstone
1-0 @ 9.93% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.23)
Other @ 4.88% (-0.11)
Total : 39.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.75% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.10)
Total : 26.38%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.17)
Other @ 4.12% (-0.02)
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. George's Stadium
  • Micah Obiero 70' yellowcard
  • Enzio Boldewijn 86' goal
  • Jack Cook 88' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Madine 21'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Micah Obiero 78' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 90'+8' goal
  • goal Micah Obiero 39'
  • yellowcard Jack Cook 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Dyer 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 90'+4'
National League Gameweek 25
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT St. George's Stadium
  • Max Kretzschmar 4' goal
  • Sean Adarkwa 13' goal
  • Sean Adarkwa 28' goal
  • Sean Adarkwa 76' goal
  • goal Callum Cooke 44'
  • goal Joe Grey 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Callum Cooke 65'
  • yellowcard Manny Onariase 67'
  • goal Josh Umerah 80'
  • goal Mitchell Hancox 90'
National League Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Tom Crawford 11' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 68' goal
  • Manny Onariase 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tarryn Allarakhia 73'
National League Gameweek 48
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
2
7
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Michael Phillips 81' yellowcard
  • S. Lo-Everton 87' goal
  • Ryan Gondoh 90' goal
  • goal Rhys Oates 25'
  • goal Richie Bennett 38'
  • goal Richie Bennett 41'
  • goal Rhys Oates 47'
  • goal Nicky Featherstone 63'
  • goal Mark Shelton 76'
  • goal Richie Bennett 81'
  • yellowcard David Ferguson 90'+3'