Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.