Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.