Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.