National League Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton United vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Eastleigh 0 - 2 Sutton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Brandon Njoku

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2026 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 2 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Sutton United has a probability of 27.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win is 2-1 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).

Result

Sutton United 27.6% (-0.08)
Draw 23.88% (-0.02)
Rochdale 48.48% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.7% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.65% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 21.35% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 56.22% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.78% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.57% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 66.43% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 19.91% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 80.09% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Sutton United 24.74%
Draw 37.98%
Rochdale 37.29%

Team To Score First

Sutton United 38.28% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.72% (+0.05)
Rochdale 56% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60.64% (-0.61)
Equal 8 10.69% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.67% (+0.61)
Over 9 49.51% (-0.58)
Equal 9 11.13% (-0.05)
Under 9 39.36% (+0.61)
Over 10.5 38.83% (-0.47)
Under 10.5 61.17% (+0.47)

Sutton United Goals

Over 1.5 31.71% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 68.29% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 12.07% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 87.93% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.75% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.25% (+0.07)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 78.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.85% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.15% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.38% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sutton United 27.59%
Draw 23.88%
Rochdale 48.48%
Sutton United
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.35% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.53% (-0.06)
Total : 27.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 23.88%
Rochdale
1-2 @ 9.62% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.23% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 7.62% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.43% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.4% (-0.01)
Total : 48.48%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 35
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Kyron Gordon 87' goal
National League Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Ryan East 22' goal
  • Devante Rodney 90'+3' goal
  • goal Eduino Vaz 29'
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 45'+6'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Devante Rodney 8' goal
  • Ethan Brierley 25' goal
  • Jimmy Keohane 50' goal
  • Devante Rodney 56' goal
  • goal Donovan Wilson 38'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Will Randall 38' goal
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Enzio Boldewijn 12' goal
  • Enzio Boldewijn 45'+2' goal
  • Joe Kizzi 57' goal
  • Robert Milsom 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 22'
  • yellowcard Jeriel Dorsett 41'