National League Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe United vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Braintree 2 - 3 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Danny Whitehall

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 3 - 2 Tamworth
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Scunthorpe United has a probability of 34.62% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win is 2-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Scunthorpe United 34.62% (-0.07)
Draw 24.8% (-0.06)
Rochdale 40.57% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.98% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 57.98% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 42.02% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 34.77%
Under 3.5 65.23%
Over 4.5 20.59%
Under 4.5 79.41%

First Half Winner

Scunthorpe United 29.2%
Draw 39.65%
Rochdale 31.15%

Team To Score First

Scunthorpe United 45.56% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.44% (-0.02)
Rochdale 49% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.25% (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.34% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.41% (-0.25)
Over 9 48.47% (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.03)
Under 9 39.75% (-0.23)
Over 10.5 37.25% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 62.75% (-0.15)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 1.5 38.91% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 61.09% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 16.62% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.38% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.85% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.15% (+0.04)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 74.56% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.44% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 43.9% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.1% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 19.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.03% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.26% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Scunthorpe United 34.62%
Draw 24.8%
Rochdale 40.59%
Scunthorpe United
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.5% (-0.01)
Total : 34.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35% (-0.03)
Total : 24.8%
Rochdale
1-2 @ 8.89% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.45% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.39% (+0.05)
Total : 40.59%

Head to Head

National League
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 2
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 25' yellowcard
  • Jake Burger 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan East 32' goal
  • Casey Pettit 64' yellowcard
  • Edward Francis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • E. Francis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Cal Roberts 17'
  • goal Callum Roberts 17'
  • yellowcard Carlton Ubaezuonu 70'
  • yellowcard Aidan Dausch 82'
  • yellowcard Joe Starbuck 90'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Manny Onariase 13' goal
  • Jai Rowe 17' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 28' yellowcard
  • Anthony Grant 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 38'
  • goal Liam Kelly 51'
  • goal Max Taylor 83'
  • yellowcard George Broadbent 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena (Rochdale, Greater Manchester)
  • Aaron Wilbraham 14' goal
  • Kgosi Ntlhe 51' goal
  • Aaron Wilbraham 60' goal
  • goal Jordan Hallam 16'
  • yellowcard Harrison McGahey 27'
  • yellowcard Tony McMahon 42'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 8, 2018 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Glanford Park (Scunthorpe)
  • Lee Novak 2' goal
  • Ryan Colclough 18' goal
  • Charlie Goode 54' goal
  • Matthew Lund 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 26'
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 52'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 55'
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 68'
  • goal Matty Gillam 83'
League One
Mar 24, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ivan Toney 51' goal
  • Funso Ojo 68' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Camps 20'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 50'
  • yellowcard Calvin Andrew 68'