Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.