Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.