National League
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ryan East 13' goal
  • Daniel Moss 38' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 45' yellowcard
  • Aidan Barlow 63' yellowcard
  • Luke Hannant 73' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 73' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 80' goal
  • E. Francis 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Creaney 22'
  • goal Oliver Lynch 33'
  • yellowcard Thomas McGlinchey 70'
  • yellowcard Ben Acquaye 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 70'
  • yellowcard Michael Reindorf 82'
  • yellowcard Michael Reindorf 83'
  • yellowcard Tom Tonks 88'

Rochdale vs Tamworth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Southend 3 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Tamworth 2 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Oliver Lynch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.93% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 10.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%) , while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Rochdale 72.33% (+0.05)
Draw 16.93% (-0.06)
Tamworth 10.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.47%
Under 1.5 19.53%
Over 2.5 58.75%
Under 2.5 41.25%
Over 3.5 35.47% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.53% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 24.59% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.41% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 47.68% (+0.04)
Draw 34.82% (-0.04)
Tamworth 17.49% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 69.09% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.81% (-0.02)
Tamworth 26.1% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 55.13% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.81% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.06% (+0.02)
Over 9 43.34%
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.87% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.54%
Under 10.5 67.46%

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 65.79% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 34.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 39.51% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 60.49% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.05% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.95% (-0.01)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5 42.63% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 57.37% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 13.92% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 86.08% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 2.88% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 97.12% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.57%
Under 3.5 99.43%

Score analysis

Rochdale 72.35%
Draw 16.93%
Tamworth 10.73%
Rochdale
2-0 @ 12.01% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.16% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.36% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.8%
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 20.04% (+0.01)
Total : 72.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.2% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 16.93%
Tamworth
0-1 @ 3.57%
1-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 10.73%

Head to Head

FA Trophy
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Ben Acquaye 72' goal
  • goal Tyler Smith 44'
National League
Nov 22, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Tom Tonks 35' yellowcard
  • Sam Waller 43' goal
  • Jasbir Singh 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 21
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Aidan Barlow 59' yellowcard
  • Harvey Gilmour 73' goal
  • Kyron Gordon 80' goal
  • Ryan East 82' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 87' goal
  • redcard Jordan Cullinane-Liburd 59'
  • yellowcard Tom Tonks 68'
  • yellowcard Ben Crompton 70'