Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.93% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%) , while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.