National League Gameweek 40
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 0 Eastleigh
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Sutton 0 - 3 Truro City
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Brandon Njoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Eastleigh has a probability of 26.57% and a draw has a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Eastleigh win is 2-1 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result

Eastleigh 26.57% (+0.06)
Draw 23.66%
Sutton United 49.76% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.42% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.3% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.7% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 35.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 64.08% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.06% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Eastleigh 24.32%
Draw 40.94%
Sutton United 34.73%

Team To Score First

Eastleigh 40.64%
No Goal 5.36%
Sutton United 54%

Corners

Over 8 58.92% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.32% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.76% (-0.15)
Over 9 47.28% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.08% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 36.3% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 63.7% (-0.15)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 1.5 31.62% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 68.38% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.18% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.82% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.79% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.21% (-0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 79.75% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.25% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 51.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.74% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.84% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.16% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.31% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.69% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Eastleigh 26.57%
Draw 23.66%
Sutton United 49.76%
Eastleigh
2-1 @ 6.54%
1-0 @ 5.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.46% (+0.01)
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.66%
Sutton United
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.45%
1-3 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.98% (-0.04)
Total : 49.76%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 5, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Will Davies 60' goal
  • Finley Barbrook 85' yellowcard
  • Eduino Vaz 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Maguire 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Richard Brindley 68'
  • yellowcard Ludwig Francillette 90'
National League Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Jake Vokins 35' yellowcard
  • Paul McCallum 38' goal
  • Scott Quigley 50' yellowcard
  • Jake Taylor 90' yellowcard
  • goal Eduino Vaz 13'
  • yellowcard Tyler French 30'
  • yellowcard Jack Wadham 32'
  • yellowcard Ashley Nadesan 41'
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 73'
National League Gameweek 49
Apr 24, 2021 5.20pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Marriott 43' goal
  • Jack Payne 58' yellowcard
  • Cavanagh Miley 79' yellowcard
National League Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robert Milsom 37' goal
  • 37' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 42' goal
  • Craig Eastmond 70' goal
  • redcard Cavanagh Miley 34'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 54'
National League Gameweek 50
Mar 28, 2020 3.00pm
The Borough Sports Ground