Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.