Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.37% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%) , while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.