National League Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Brackley Town 1 - 1 Braintree
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Lewis Walker

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Halifax 0 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Braintree Town has a probability of 25.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Braintree Town win is 1-0 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).

Result

Braintree Town 25.66% (+0.09)
Draw 24.88%
Carlisle United 49.46% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.53% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.47% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.58% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.33% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.67% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.97%
Under 4.5 84.03%

First Half Winner

Braintree Town 23.59% (+0.02)
Draw 39.86% (+0.04)
Carlisle United 36.54% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Braintree Town 35.4% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.07% (-0.01)
Carlisle United 57.53% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 68.21% (-0.33)
Equal 8 10.07% (+0.04)
Under 8 21.71% (+0.29)
Over 9 57.04% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.18% (+0.01)
Under 9 31.79% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 45.7% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 54.3% (+0.29)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 1.5 27.45% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 72.55% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.16% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 90.84% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.44% (-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 77.77% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.23% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 46.23% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 53.77% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 21.17% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 78.83% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.22% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Braintree Town 25.67%
Draw 24.89%
Carlisle United 49.45%
Braintree Town
1-0 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5% (+0.01)
Total : 25.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 24.89%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.45% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.72% (-0.04)
Total : 49.45%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT