Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.