Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-2 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.