National League Gameweek 40
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
The Shay Stadium

Halifax Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Halifax Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
Solihull 0 - 3 Halifax
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
W. Harris

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Carlisle 6 - 2 Boston
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 34.29% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-2 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result

Halifax Town 39.91%
Draw 25.8%
Carlisle United 34.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.78% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.22% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.44%
Under 2.5 46.56%
Over 3.5 30.8%
Under 3.5 69.2%
Over 4.5 17.43%
Under 4.5 82.57%

First Half Winner

Halifax Town 30.16%
Draw 41.8%
Carlisle United 28.04%

Team To Score First

Halifax Town 46.84%
No Goal 6.41%
Carlisle United 46.75%

Corners

Over 8 63.94% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.61%
Under 8 25.45% (-0.11)
Over 9 52.59% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.35% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.06% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 41.45% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 58.55% (-0.10)

Halifax Town Goals

Over 1.5 41.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.96% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.25%
Under 3.5 93.75%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.71% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.37%
Under 1.5 63.63%
Over 2.5 14.69%
Under 2.5 85.31%
Over 3.5 4.77%
Under 3.5 95.23%

Score analysis

Halifax Town 39.91%
Draw 25.8%
Carlisle United 34.28%
Halifax Town
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 6.05%
Total : 39.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.8%
Carlisle United
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.57%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 34.28%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT