Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.13% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Boston United win it was 1-2 (5.19%).