National League Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot Town vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Wealdstone 3 - 0 Aldershot
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Charlie Warren

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Gateshead 2 - 0 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Harry Chapman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Gateshead has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aldershot Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Gateshead win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result

Aldershot Town 44.86% (-0.83)
Draw 23.48% (+0.06)
Gateshead 31.66% (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.9% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.05% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 16.95% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 63% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 37% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 41.11% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 58.89% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 25.04% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 74.96% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Aldershot Town 33.11% (-0.05)
Draw 38.12% (+0.08)
Gateshead 28.78% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Aldershot Town 52.64% (-0.21)
No Goal 4.22% (+0.02)
Gateshead 43.14% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 68.09% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.46% (+0.07)
Under 8 21.45% (+0.03)
Over 9 56.46% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.07)
Under 9 31.91% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 44.7% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 55.3% (+0.19)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 1.5 50.19% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 49.81% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 24.92% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 75.08% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 10.22% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 89.78% (+0.22)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 69.2% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 30.8% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 39.33% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 60.67% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 17.21% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 82.79% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 6.47% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 93.53% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Aldershot Town 44.86%
Draw 23.48%
Gateshead 31.66%
Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.17)
Other @ 9.7% (-0.25)
Total : 44.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.92%
0-0 @ 4.22% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.98% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.52% (+0.04)
Total : 23.48%
Gateshead
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.53% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.04% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 3.11% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.95% (+0.22)
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Josh Barrett 5' goal
  • Theo Widdrington 54' yellowcard
  • Theo Widdrington 55' yellowcard
  • Ryan Jones 58' goal
  • Jack Barham 81' goal
  • goal Jack Roles 3'
  • redcard Ryan Bartley 74'
National League Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Owen Oseni 19' goal
  • Callum Whelan 34' goal
  • Robbie Tinkler 63' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Barrett 11'
  • yellowcard Oliver Scott 18'
  • yellowcard Christian Maghoma 42'
  • goal Jack Barham 56'
  • yellowcard Ashley Akpan 88'
National League Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Nathan Harness 47' redcard
  • Robbie Tinkler 50' yellowcard
  • Kain Adom 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kwame Thomas 61'
  • yellowcard Jordi van Stappershoef 73'
National League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Cian Harries 37' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 42' yellowcard
  • Josh Stokes 59' goal
  • yellowcard Louis Storey 55'
  • yellowcard Kenton Richardson 55'
  • goal Edward Francis 86'
National League Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Joe Partington 7' goal
  • Corey Jordan 90'+2' goal
  • goal Adam Campbell 20'
  • goal Marcus Dinanga 48'
  • goal Marcus Dinanga 57'