Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.