Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.