National League Gameweek 42
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Braintree 1 - 2 Carlisle
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Gateshead 2 - 1 Yeovil
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Harry Chapman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw has a probability of 18.36% and a win for Gateshead has a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Gateshead win it is 1-2 (3.86%).

Result

Carlisle United 67.3% (+0.04)
Draw 18.36%
Gateshead 14.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.9% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 15.1% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 66.02%
Under 2.5 33.98%
Over 3.5 44.78%
Under 3.5 55.22%
Over 4.5 30.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.56% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 47.24%
Draw 34.68%
Gateshead 18.08%

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 66.27% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.55% (+0.01)
Gateshead 30.18%

Corners

Over 8 68.3% (-0.55)
Equal 8 10.26% (+0.07)
Under 8 21.44% (+0.50)
Over 9 56.89% (-0.55)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 31.7% (+0.56)
Over 10.5 45.3% (-0.50)
Under 10.5 54.7% (+0.50)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 67.4% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 32.6% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 41.54% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 58.46% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 21.18% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.82% (-0.02)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 51.01% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 48.99% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 22.05% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.95% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 7.25%
Under 2.5 92.75%
Over 3.5 2.26%
Under 3.5 97.74%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 67.29%
Draw 18.36%
Gateshead 14.4%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.16% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7%
3-0 @ 7.11% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 20.9% (+0.01)
Total : 67.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 5.1%
0-0 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.36%
Gateshead
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-1 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-2 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 14.4%

Head to Head

National League
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 40' yellowcard
  • Kain Adom 40' yellowcard
  • goal Elliot Embleton 36'
  • goal Regan Linney 71'
  • goal Luke Armstrong 88'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Owen Oseni 48' goal
  • Owen Oseni 57' goal