Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.36% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.