National League Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton United vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Aldershot 2 - 2 Sutton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Brandon Njoku

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Southend 3 - 2 Braintree
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Sutton United has a probability of 23.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Sutton United win is 1-0 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.37%).

Result

Sutton United 23.68% (+0.06)
Draw 23.43% (+0.06)
Southend United 52.94% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.26% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.54% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.46% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 34.65% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.35% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.44% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 79.56% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Sutton United 23.64%
Draw 38.97%
Southend United 37.39%

Team To Score First

Sutton United 36.27%
No Goal 5.63% (+0.01)
Southend United 58.1% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.27% (+0.32)
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 31.51% (-0.32)
Over 9 45.88% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.39% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.73% (-0.32)
Over 10.5 35.25% (+0.23)
Under 10.5 64.75% (-0.24)

Sutton United Goals

Over 1.5 28.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.51% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.09%
Under 2.5 89.91%
Over 3.5 2.9%
Under 3.5 97.1%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 81.19% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.81% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 47.25% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 26.53% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.47% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.95% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 89.05% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Sutton United 23.69%
Draw 23.43%
Southend United 52.96%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.43%
Southend United
1-2 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38%
Other @ 10.69% (-0.06)
Total : 52.96%

Head to Head

National League
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 17' goal
  • Harry Boyes 63' yellowcard
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 76'
  • yellowcard Hayden Muller 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Simper 84'
National League Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Lewis Simper 90' yellowcard
  • Ashley Nadesan 90'+5' goal
  • goal Ben Goodliffe 33'
  • yellowcard Keenan Appiah-Forson 46'
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 85'
National League Gameweek 9
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 11' goal
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 39' yellowcard
  • Noor Husin 90' yellowcard
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Ransom 14'
  • yellowcard Josh Coley 27'
  • goal Josh Coley 45'+5'
  • goal Lewis Simper 50' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tyler French 56'
  • goal Ashley Nadesan 75'
  • yellowcard Jayden Harris 86'
  • yellowcard Charlie Waller 90'