Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.