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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 38.98% | 27.51% | 33.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% | 77.57% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% | 28.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% | 63.97% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.51% |