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EFL Cup

Port Vale
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Sunderland

Port Vale
1 - 2
Sunderland

Proctor (67')
Worrall (49'), Walker (59'), Amoo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hawkes (40'), O'Brien (50' pen.)
Diamond (21'), Taylor (55'), Doyle (86'), Younger (89')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Sunderland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawSunderland
13.34%20.09%66.58%
Both teams to score 46.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.2%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.93%46.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.22%81.78%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81%13.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08%39.93%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 13.34%
    Sunderland 66.57%
    Draw 20.09%
Port ValeDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 4.71%
2-1 @ 3.7%
2-0 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 0.97%
3-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.34%
1-1 @ 9.54%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.09%
0-2 @ 12.46%
0-1 @ 12.31%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-3 @ 8.42%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-4 @ 4.26%
1-4 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-5 @ 1.73%
1-5 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 66.57%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Sunderland

Port Vale
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Sunderland
40.0%
5