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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Port Vale |
| 32.01% | 27.82% | 40.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% | 58.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% | 78.72% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% | 33.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% | 70.05% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% | 63.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.17% |