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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Port Vale |
35.26% | 26.99% | 37.75% |
Both teams to score 50.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% | 54.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% | 75.75% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% | 29.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% | 65.39% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% | 27.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% | 63.52% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |