National League North | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 2
Buxton

Lloyd (36' pen.), Bennett (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Andreucci (20', 47')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 2-3 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 3-2 Buxton
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawBuxton
26.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.97%49.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.24% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.59% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.34%
Score Analysis
    Southport 26.11%
    Buxton 49.91%
    Draw 23.97%
SouthportDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 6.64%
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 5.43%
0-3 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 49.91%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Buxton
0-1
Southport
O'Neil (5')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southport
1-4
Buxton
Watson (90+1')
Kirby (45+3'), De Girolamo (62'), Osborne (74'), Gilchrist (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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