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FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bowden Park

Harborough Town
1 - 0
Leamington

Starkie (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Harborough Town and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

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Last Game: Harborough Town 4-2 Stourbridge
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Leamington FC

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leamington 4-1 Oxford City
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Harborough TownDrawLeamington FC
36.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.017000000000003 0.02)51.94% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)73.69% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.012 0.01)27.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Harborough Town 36.28%
    Leamington FC 37.31%
    Draw 26.41%
Harborough TownDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.28%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.31%