FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bowden Park

Harborough Town
4 - 2
Stourbridge

Williams (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Freemantle (90+1')

Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Harborough Town and Stourbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harborough Town

Last Game: Darlaston Town 2-3 Harborough Town
Wednesday, September 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Stourbridge

Last Game: Dudley Town 0-5 Stourbridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stourbridge win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stourbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Harborough Town	Draw	Stourbridge
36.27%	24.51%	39.22%

Both teams to score 59.5% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.61%

43.39% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.22%

65.78% (

Harborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29%

57.71% (

Stourbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

22.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54%

55.46%

Score Analysis

Harborough Town 36.27%

Stourbridge 39.22%

Draw 24.51%

Harborough Town	Draw	Stourbridge
2-1 @ 8.21% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 36.27%	1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.22%