FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays

Sep 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Darlaston Town
2 - 3
Harborough Town

Rowland (5', 41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Robinson (75'), Malone (79'), Stephens (90+7')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Darlaston Town and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlaston Town

Last Game: Harborough Town 0-0 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Harborough Town

Last Game: Harborough Town 0-0 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Darlaston Town had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Darlaston Town win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.

Result
Darlaston Town	Draw	Harborough Town
29.84% ( -1.14)	23.75% ( 0.23)	46.4% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 59.85% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.07% (

-1.71)

41.93% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.66% (

-1.74)

64.33% (

1.73)

Darlaston Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

-1.58)

26.74% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

-2.12)

62.01% (

2.11)

Harborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

-0.32)

18.29% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.63% (

-0.53)

49.37% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Darlaston Town 29.84%

Harborough Town 46.4%

Draw 23.75%

Darlaston Town	Draw	Harborough Town
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.84%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.57% Total : 46.4%