National League North | Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington
4 - 1
Oxford City

Meredith (31'), Stewart (59' pen., 66', 90')
Stewart (20'), Streete (63'), Doyle-Charles (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McEachran (82')
Burley (58'), Parker (82')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Leamington
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Oxford City 3-0 Needham Market
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawOxford City
60.19% (-0.136 -0.14)22.67% (0.12 0.12)17.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5% (-0.451 -0.45)50.5% (0.446 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58% (-0.399 -0.4)72.42% (0.396 0.4)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)16.38% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-0.367 -0.37)46.02% (0.363 0.36)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.04% (-0.249 -0.25)42.96% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74% (-0.211 -0.21)79.25% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 60.19%
    Oxford City 17.13%
    Draw 22.67%
Leamington FCDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 60.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 17.13%